Curioso's Journals 

An outgoing President's outgoing allies and archfoes searching for an outdated political solution in the Middle East??!!   

How could a political solution be achieved with this much non-eligibilities existing among the Leaders of either the Middle Eastern allies and or even the arch foes such as Iran or Syria ,, or not the least the United States’ diminishing face as the major player in this Arena?!

 President Bush’s recent visit to the Middle East was due to accomplish two main objectives,,,

Firstly: to reconfirm U.S-Israeli connections in the U.S's coming election in favor of his party candidate, 

Secondly: To reunite the Arab League in front of the arch foes, Iran and Syria.    

1-   Reconfirming the U.S- Israeli ties with the present leadership of the country that unfortunately for the President,,, is suffering from serious corruptions scandals.  There is no evidence that the coming hard Liners of Israel will be on the same political path as Ehud Olmert tries to be , despite his shaky position after financial scandals.   

2-   Mahmmod Abbas the head of the Palestinians on the other hand have no jurisdiction among the Hamas occupied territories on the Gaza. 

3-   Hamas itself is badly damaged by the reputation of being a marionette to Iranian and Syrian subversive interventions in the region,, not being able to make a valid successor of itself in case Mahmood Abbas fails to reunite the whole Palestinian people. Jimmy Carters efforts  failed to show a legitimate face of this movement to the world. 

4-   On the main Iranian adversary side , even President Ahmadinejad has a challenge to confront by its own hard liner allies , recently came to power in the Islamic Parliament.  It seems that his office of being a good provocateur for his own goals and the U.S's Stronger position in the Persian Gulf has reached its goals and he is not needed any longer!!  

5-   Major Arab States are either suffering from the internal conflicts with their eilts, opponents , or they are driving their own dirty wars in the other Arab countries ( Arab brothers !) like the Saudis intervention in favor of Sunnits against the Iranian backed Shiites. They have made a hell of sacrificing the innocent Iraqi people under the remarkably soft and tolerant surveillance of the American forces, who are driving in their own turns their own private war of American strategic interests in the region.

6-   However the same major Arab states ,  refused to recognize President Bush’s message of alignment against theirs and Americans arch foe ,, Iran and Syria. Both latter countries are driving a civil mass destruction and genocide in Lebanon by the name of the Hizbollah’s political interests in the Lebanon’s eventual constitutional changes.

7-   It is even mentioned that Saudi Arabia’s major role in supporting Hamas and even to some degree Hizbollah to create chaos and crises in an already infected regions of conflicts is now documented even by the American Army in Iraq, Lebanon and Gaza.  The country even refused to  produce  more oil  to  pressure the present high prices .

8-      In the meantime even President Bush’s campaign against his party’s domestic opponent Obama in the Israeli Knesset , has caused strong reaction even among the Republican Party’s candidates and congressmen.

The fact is that,,, non of the political objectives of this trip is achieved as President did expect ,,, but the question is , whether the visit to the region was fundamentally planned for the political achievements after all??. A successful political goal of a visit of this kind,, apart from its propaganda goals,,  requires credible allies to fulfill its aims and even credible opponents to make their efforts to provoke a political aggression by an out going President. As the time on the office is numbered for everyone in this arena ( either by their corruption scandals or losing their hardliner face even among their own revolutionary comrades in case of Iranian leaders ) the arena will be emptier than ever missing real statemen  to achieve a valid political objective on several issues in the region. Even the Arab Leaders with all their enormous problems with internal and external opponents , did not join the promising alignment of the President to mobilize their foreign policies against Iran and Syria.  We dont mention  their  cold  reception of the  President's  Oil  Price and production proposals. 

The only consequence for a non-eligible( in his numbered days in office ofcourse,,, and surely not in his conduct of foreign policy ! ) President with Non eligible allies and opponents in a chaotic region of the world together with the daily rising of the Oil prices and internal economic turmoil is only to reclaim his credibility in his last days in office by doing something drastic ( read war !!) out of the situation. This naturally will save the face of President as the man of the “only words and bluffs”,,, and certainly will be a good cure for the stagnating Oil price recessions and the depressing Western Economy as a whole.

Howevre,, there are strong evidences showing that President Bush’s promises to end up the Middle Eastern Crises both on the Israeli-Arab front and Iranian-Syrian interventions in the ongoing turmoil, only through the political and diplomatic means are very much doubted by the observers.

cyrusvadani@msn.com